We have been running a series of articles titled ‘Under The Radar: India’s Small-Cap Equities’ beginning in December 2011 - and followed up twice - with the last article in December 2013. We would like to conclude this series after updating the small-cap index level and returns, comparing it to our expectations ex-ante, and analysing the current scenario. Following this, we have also outlined where we may take this blog in the future. The small-cap index closed at 11,087.07 on December 31 st , 2014. This compares to a level of 6,150.65 in our last article – resulting in an advance of over 80% to date. This is a handsome absolute return by any standard, particularly compared to Indian government bonds, which yielded around 8-9% for the period. This justifies the conclusion at the end of our previous article that “small-caps in India offer among the most attractive bargains during any time since 2006 and certainly in the entire Indian stock market today”. Of cour
In February of this year, we summarised the valuation parameters of the BSE Small-cap Index in India (now the S&P BSE Small Cap Index) - following on from an earlier report we wrote in December, 2011 - and drew certain conclusions. We would like to update the valuation scenario with the data today, review those conclusions, and form new ones based on the available information. The small-cap index closed today (17 th December, 2013) at 6,150.65 with an indicated price to book value of 1.04. The closing value as on February, 2013 was 7,006.73 representing a decline of over 12% as of today. The current index value masks a greater fall of over 27% to a low of 5,085.56 in August, 2013. This represents an unsatisfactory overall performance for those who invested in small caps at the beginning of the year. In our earlier report, we made two assumptions towards the end of our report to form a conclusion as to prices then: 1) “The market has a