Investing Reflections On India

Kulkarni Power Tools is in the business of manufacturing power tools for the housing, infrastructure and industrial sectors. The company reported growing revenues in the last five years but the operating profits don’t seem to have kept up – indicating declining operating margins.  It reported about 12cr in operating profits on revenues of about 90cr.  However, it employed an uncomfortably high debt load to accomplish this performance thereby increasing the financial risk in case of a business slowdown. The business is exposed to iron and steel price increases (raw materials) as well as the housing/construction cycles.  It is also vulnerable to a weakening INR since it’s a net importer and its high debt level (apart from its customer profile) exposes it to the risk of rising interest rates. Management don’t appear to have discussed the risks in this business fully or intelligently – management reluctance to honestly discuss their views of the business (risks as well as oppor

JK Paper is in the business of manufacturing paper/paper boards. It holds a leading competitive position in the copier, coated and packaging board segments. The company has reported consistent growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years – reporting 260cr in operating profits on revenues of about 1,400cr in the last financial year while operating with moderate net debt of about 500cr. The business is subject to the risks of wood and pulp availability as well as their price rises.  It is also exposed to the risks of cyclicality (periods of industry oversupply), Chinese dumping, poor infrastructure and therefore imports from nations with well-developed infrastructure, lack of corporate farming in the country, lack of experienced personnel, interest rate rises (affecting loan costs) and GST (tax) increases.

Sujana Universal is in the business of manufacturing steel castings, bearings, appliances etc. with other divisions operating in the fields of infrastructure, share trading and other activities. The company has shown high growth in revenues, which haven’t translated to similar increases in operating profits.   It reported 70cr of operating profits on revenues of about 3000cr in the twelve months ending 31 st March, 2011.   It operated with a relatively high net debt of about 200cr. The business, however, generates weak operating cash flows as a result of heavy investment in its working capital. The primary risk with this business is the lack of focus in its business activities – with management time devoted to activities seemingly unrelated to their primary business (steel castings) such as real-estate, share trading etc. and a host of unquoted subsidiaries engaged in unknown activities.   In its steel castings business, it is blighted by the cyclicality of the industry with pe