Investing Reflections On India

The company operates in the textile industry – processing and selling fabrics.  It focuses on heritage and craft fabrics and uses dyes/plain fabrics to create printed fabrics.  The company has reported very modest growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years – reporting 4cr of operating profits on revenues of 36cr in the last financial year. It employed no net debt in financing its operations and held about 9cr in liquid investments, primarily in equity mutual funds. The industry is blighted by government policies that work against domestic players such as propping up of ‘zombie’ units (to preserve employment) and export restrictions on cotton yarn and other related products.  The company is forced to import fabrics due to the lack of domestic supplies, resulting in exposure to a weakening INR.  Moreover, the US and Europe account for over 60% of Indian textile exports, resulting in substantial diminution in the industry’s overall revenue as a result

Sri Lakshmi Saraswathi is in the business of manufacturing yarn used for making woven and knitted fabrics. The company has reported reasonable operating profitability (for a textile business) over the last five years including a spurt in recent performance with operating profits of 14cr on revenues of about 100cr.  It generated this performance, however, with slightly uncomfortable debt levels (though manageable if the recent performance continues) in relation to accounting net worth.  The business is exposed to myriad problems of rising cotton prices, heavy government regulations and frequent arbitrary intrusion through implementation of the ‘quota’ system for exports of yarn as well as cotton (raw material) impacting their prices (usually adversely), persistent oversupply of yarn capacity in Tamil Nadu as compared to fabric capacity (resulting in greater bargaining power for customers), power shortages, wage increases, foreign exchange rate risks on exports, etc. M

Vardhman Textiles is in the textiles business with manufacturing capacities in yarns and fabrics. The company has generated consistent growth in revenues and profits – reporting about 900cr in operating profits on 3,600cr of revenues in the last financial year.   It has a relatively high debt load of 2,800cr – which would magnify the negative impact on profit during industry downturns. The business is subject to the risk of cotton price spikes since it constitutes a large proportion of raw material cost.   It is also exposed to adverse movements in USD/INR exchange rates since a large proportion of revenues comprises of exports to US buyers.   Moreover, it is vulnerable to adverse government policies on export incentives and/or other restrictions along with frequent power shortages that blight the industry.