Investing Reflections On India

Sam Industries operates in three business segments i.e. Soy Products, Welding and Real Estate. It is a supplier of soy products including de-oiled cakes oil etc., welding products and invests in real estate ventures including housing construction and sale. The company has reported erratic revenues and profits over the last five years – reporting a net operating loss of 3cr on revenues of 24cr in the last financial year.  However, it had minimal net debt as at last financial year end. The soy business is exposed to the risks of fluctuating soy seed prices, which is dependent on monsoon conditions.  The welding business is exposed to the cyclical metal industries.  The real estate venture appears to indicate a lack of focus and is subject to the risks of interest rate cyclicality, high competition, execution delays etc. Management does not declare dividends despite lack of profitable growth in its core businesses.  Instead they have made unwarranted forays into real es

Lanco Industries is in the business of manufacturing Ductile Iron (DI) pipes used for water transportation.   It supplies primarily to government, state and municipal boards. The company has reported consistent growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years – generating over 85cr in operating profits on revenues of about 725cr in the last financial year while employing a high net debt load of over 340cr. The company is highly leveraged and has significant resources tied up in working capital, thereby impacting its operating cash flows. The business is dependent on iron ore and coking coal supplies and prices.   It is also exposed to high competition and capacity additions.   Moreover, it runs the specific risk of delayed payments by government boards, who seem to have a reputation for it.   

National Steel is in the business of manufacturing steel sheets/coils/strips etc. The company has reported erratic operating profits on reasonably stable revenues – generating 134cr in operating profits on revenues of about 2,550cr in the last financial year while employing a relatively high net debt of about 265cr, considering the nature of its business. The business requires heavy working capital expenditure resulting in a heavy hit to operating cash flows and is exposed to the risks of import substitutes, heavy competition including from foreign players established in India, raw material price spikes, and sharp business cycles resulting in poor revenues and profits during recessionary times. Management have not declared any dividends in any of the last five years presumably as a result of the erratic profitability mentioned above.   This doesn’t appear to be initiated any time soon unless the business generates consistent profitability, which appears speculative at th

Filatex is a manufacturer of Polyester Filament Yarn for textile and other applications. The company has reported consistent growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years.   It reported operating profits of over 40cr on revenues of almost 500cr in the last financial year while employing moderate net debt of just over 64cr. The business is exposed to the risks of viable substitutes such as cotton and other fibres when they sell at attractive prices.   It is also exposed to raw material price spikes, high competition (imports as well as domestic) and requirement for heavy capital expenditure to maintain (presumably) competitive position in a capital-intensive industry.

Alphageo is in the business of executing seismic surveys for oil exploration majors such as ONGC, Essar etc. The company has reported reasonably stable revenues and operating profits over the last five years except for a dip in profitability in the last financial year as well as last quarter.   It operated average operating profits of about 30cr in the last five years on revenues of about 75cr.   It employed no net debt as at 31 st March, 2011. The business is subject to risks of international competition from reputed players, crude oil price drops, technological obsolescence, manpower retention, government policies on oil exploration, highly lumpy revenues including periods of significant revenue and earnings downturns in lean times, cost underestimation on long-term projects, legal risks of non-compliance with laws and regulations, etc.

Prima Plastics is in the business of manufacturing Moulded Furniture and Aluminium Composite Panels.   It supplies usually to retail outlets.   It also owns a profitable joint venture in Cameroon. The company has reported reasonably consistent growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years.   It reported almost 6cr in operating profits on revenues of almost 60cr in the last financial year while employing modest net debt of about 3cr. The business is exposed to high risk of poor performance in recessionary conditions.   It is also exposed to crude oil and aluminium price spikes, polypropylene (plastic) supplies - mainly dependent on Middle East capacity, heavy competition incl from China, price competition in low-value products, foreign exchange risks on imports as well as exports, etc. Management initiated dividends in FY’10 and continued it in FY’11.   Its continuance would appear to depend on the impact of business risks mentioned above.

Tyroon tea company owns one tea plantation and processing facility for domestic sales – mainly supplying black tea. The company has reported consistent growth in revenues and profits over the last five years – generating about 4cr of operating profits on about 22cr of revenues in the last financial year while operating with minimal net debt of under 1.5cr (as at 31 st March, 2010). The business is monsoon dependent and also exposed to the risks of stubborn wage inflation (which is insensitive to economic reality) and cyclicality – dependent on supplies of Sri Lankan and Kenyan tea stocks. Management haven’t declared dividends in any of the last five years, which may be justified if management can maintain profitable growth over the long future.