Investing Reflections On India

NGL Fine Chem operates in the pharmaceutical industry and is in the business of manufacturing bulk drugs and finished dosages. The company has reported stable operating profits on rising revenues over the last five years indicating a bit of margin compression during that period.  It reported operating profits of around 5cr on revenues of about 35cr in the last financial year.  It generated this using moderate debt. The company, however, has also reported negative free cash flows (operating – investing cash flows) in aggregate over the last five years requiring additional debt to finance the capital expenditure.  It would need to generate commensurate future profits to justify the excess capital expenditure. The business is primarily exposed to the risk of heavy competition in the fragmented generics market.  It is also export-dependent with a concentration of sales to Africa – exposing to foreign exchange rate risks.  In addition, it is also exposed ...

Flawless Diamonds is in the business of exporting cut and polished diamonds to the US, China, UAE and other countries. The company has not reported significant revenue growth in the last five years and operating profits have been somewhat erratic.   It reported 6cr of operating profits on revenues of about 400cr in the last financial year.   It operated with a relatively high debt load of about 60cr (as at 31 st March, 2010). It is exposed to demand drops during economic downturns due to the discretionary nature of its products, adverse foreign exchange movements impacting its export revenues, interest rate risks impacting its debts and other related risks. Management haven’t declared dividends since the 2008 financial crisis and appear unlikely to reinstate them in the near future due to recent quarterly losses.

Tokyo Plast is in the business of manufacturing thermoware products used to maintain temperature such as insulated ice boxes, water bottles, food carriers etc. The company has reported reasonable growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years – reporting about 7cr in operating profits on revenues of about 50cr in the last financial year.  It operated with a modest net debt position of about 13cr. The business is subject to crude oil price spikes impacting its raw material costs.  It is also exposed to Chinese competition in this product category and adverse movements in foreign exchange with a large proportion of exports constituting its total sales.

Su-raj diamonds is in the business of exporting cut and polished diamonds/jewellery to the Middle East, Europe, US etc. The company has reported consistent growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years.   It reported operating profits of about 140cr on revenues of 4,300cr in the last financial year.   It operated with a modest net debt load of about 150cr. The business, however, generates weak cash flows from operations as a result of relatively high investment in working capital. The business is subject to price rises in gold and rough diamonds.   It is generally a low-margin business and hence, risks tend to have a magnified adverse impact on profits.   Furthermore, it is a luxury product implying that it constitutes a discretionary purchase for the customer, which would likely be cut back first in the event of economic downturns resulting in profit deterioration.   It is also subject to adverse movements in foreign exchange rates as a ...

Lakshmi Energy is in the business of processing and distributing rice to domestic and export markets.   It is also engaged in generating biomass fuel. The company has reported growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years reporting about 200cr in operating profits on about 1200cr of revenues in the last financial year (ending 30 th September, 2010).   It operated with a relatively high net debt load of 780cr as at that date. The business, however, generates weak operating cash flows as a result of high investment in its working capital. The business is subject to adverse changes in government regulations/policies on procurement pricing, non-Basmati exports etc.   It is monsoon-dependent, subject to adverse changes in foreign exchange rates (for exports) and prone to heavy competition in its operations. Dividends have been on a declining trend for the last five years (probably as a result of above cash flow problems).   Management appear to b...