Skip to main content

Arihant Capital


Arihant Capital is in the business of providing integrated financial services.

The company is primarily an equity broker but also provides commodity, currency, and bond brokerage as well as merchant banking, financing, distribution of financial products, financial planning, and depository services to over 100,000 customers across the country in the retail, corporate, and institutional customer segments.

The company has reported fluctuating operating performance in the last five years roughly corresponding to the movements in the financial markets.  It reported 16cr in operating profits on revenues of nearly 60cr in the last financial year, while operating with net cash and liquid assets of about 50cr as at 31st March, 2012.

The business is primarily exposed to low equity brokerage volumes and declines in cash volumes during times of indifferent financial market sentiment, which usually parallels periods following panic and may be protracted.  Further, retail customers are unlikely to generate much brokerage revenue in times other than bull markets.  Moreover, financial market sentiments are highly unpredictable making for difficulty in estimating trading volumes and future revenues.

Another acute risk facing the business is the intensity of competition on the brokerage scene – reducing brokerage rates across the board.  This reduces expected revenues and profitability.

Part of the above risk entails a constant upkeep with the latest technology – barring which the business model could be rendered obsolete in short order.  This involves substantial capital outlays, which reduces cash flows available to shareholders.  Moreover, these investments are likely to only bring the company’s competitive position to par rather than give it a sustainable edge.  Furthermore, the company is still exposed to occasional breakdowns in the system causing customer fury and potential irreparable damage to the company’s reputation.

The business also involves incurring some credit risk with customers, who may default on contracts.  The collaterals are exposed to the risk of quick and severe deterioration of market value.  It also involves regular customer grievances due to the nature of the business and consequent litigation, arbitration, etc. – which could lead to penalties and fines reducing profits.

The business is highly regulated by various regulatory bodies including SEBI and the stock exchanges – non-compliance with any regulation could subject it to fines, penalties and even suspension of its license to operate.

Comments

Popular posts from this blog

On The Radar: India's Small-Cap Equities (Concluded)

We have been running a series of articles titled ‘Under The Radar: India’s Small-Cap Equities’ beginning in December 2011 - and followed up twice - with the last article in December 2013. We would like to conclude this series after updating the small-cap index level and returns, comparing it to our expectations ex-ante, and analysing the current scenario.  Following this, we have also outlined where we may take this blog in the future. The small-cap index closed at 11,087.07 on December 31 st , 2014.  This compares to a level of 6,150.65 in our last article – resulting in an advance of over 80% to date. This is a handsome absolute return by any standard, particularly compared to Indian government bonds, which yielded around 8-9% for the period.  This justifies the conclusion at the end of our previous article that “small-caps in India offer among the most attractive bargains during any time since 2006 and certainly in the entire Indian stock market today”. Of cour

Lakshmi Energy

Lakshmi Energy is in the business of processing and distributing rice to domestic and export markets.   It is also engaged in generating biomass fuel. The company has reported growth in revenues and operating profits over the last five years reporting about 200cr in operating profits on about 1200cr of revenues in the last financial year (ending 30 th September, 2010).   It operated with a relatively high net debt load of 780cr as at that date. The business, however, generates weak operating cash flows as a result of high investment in its working capital. The business is subject to adverse changes in government regulations/policies on procurement pricing, non-Basmati exports etc.   It is monsoon-dependent, subject to adverse changes in foreign exchange rates (for exports) and prone to heavy competition in its operations. Dividends have been on a declining trend for the last five years (probably as a result of above cash flow problems).   Management appear to be making a valiant

Under the Radar: India’s Mid-Cap and Small-Cap Equities

Indian stock markets have been one of the worst performers in 2011 – worse than their BRIC peers, worse than the rest of Asia and far worse than the US with the leading indices declining about 25% during the year.  Foreign investors in India have also suffered substantial declines of nearly 20% in INR currency value. There appear to be several reasons for the market’s dislike for Indian equities in 2011, which include persistent inflation (including food inflation, which constitutes the major proportion of the typical Indian household), political paralysis (e.g. rollback of foreign investment in retail etc.) and global concerns about the solvency of several Eurozone countries. As a result, estimated GDP growth for the next financial year has been revised downwards from about 8% earlier in the year to about 6% now - with many market commentators wondering whether this rate of growth is India’s ‘new normal’.  This is still, however, substantially higher than global average.