Rama Pulp & Paper operates in the business of
manufacturing paper (>80% of revenues) and trading chemicals.
The company manufactures various types of paper including
carbon base paper where it has a 40% market share. It does not appear to face major
infrastructure issues of land, water, power etc.
The company has reported erratic profitability on moderately
growing revenues – reporting operating profits of about 5cr on revenues of
about 70cr in the last financial year.
The company operated with a moderate debt load. It also reported net current assets of about
20cr as at 30th September, 2011.
Management plans to incur capital expenditure equivalent to
the current total resources of the company to expand into the fertiliser
business and manufacture phosphate fertilisers.
Such a step away from the company’s core competence is baffling.
These large investments would require
substantial additional financing that would surely require the raising of substantial
additional debt and/or equity capital, which would raise the financial risk for
minority shareholders.
Moreover, they intend to incur additional capital
expenditure for purchasing paper machines and also for manufacture of chemicals
(surfactants).
The company earns low returns on invested capital raising
questions about industry profitability and/or management competence. It also raises questions on the wisdom of
additional capital expenditure as outlined above.
Apart from the above major factor casting doubt on the
enterprise’s intrinsic value, the paper business is exposed to bouts of
industry overcapacity with capacities added by other players in the previous
year particularly in the same location.
Moreover, it is exposed to power grid tariff increases.
Management raised equity share capital in the last financial
year thereby diluting minority shareholder interests. This may be a sign of things to come (see capital
expenditure plans above) over the next five years and minority shareholders
ought to consider whether the substantial new investments would deliver
commensurate returns. The financial track
record, management’s core competence, magnitude of prospective capital outlays, and other
factors stated above seems to make this an uncertain and speculative
assessment.
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