Windsor Machines manufactures capital equipment machinery
for use in injection moulding and extrusion activities – both dividing sales
equally.
It has technical collaboration with Italian and German
manufacturers for producing its plastic processing and pipe machines.
The company reported accumulated losses in the past as a
result of a combination of poor aggregate operating performances and an extraordinarily
high debt load. Its shutdown was avoided
by secured lenders taking a 55% haircut on their loans. It had a more manageable debt load as at 30th
September, 2011 (if the company can continue to be reasonably profitable).
Its debts comprised of unsecured loans from a company and a
smaller inter-corporate loan – implying that their terms are likely to be
softer than secured loans from banks and therefore subject to less stringent
action should operating conditions turn worse.
It reported 18cr of deferred tax assets (as at 30th
September, 2011), which have value only if the company can generate sufficient
future profits to utilise them – this is far from certain.
It also lacked adequate working capital, as at that date, putting
further strain on financing its operations.
The company reported reasonable operating profits in the financial
years (FY) ended 2010 and 2011 on growing revenues but this has taken a hit in
the last twelve months with operating profits of just over 15cr on a revenue
base of about 230cr.
It sold 608 machines in FY 2011 and 520 machines in the year
before – these numbers are likely to come under severe pressure in the
near-term due to the factors below.
Demand for extrusion machines from packaging customers has
been severely hit by the government ban on plastic packaging – this should be
discounted in the investors’ forecast of future performance.
The business is extremely cyclical – marked by the capital
investment cycle, which is heavily influenced by interest rates and the
economic environment. Therefore, a
period of high interest rates (such as now) would adversely impact its
operations.
It is exposed to oversupply in customer industries such as
that affecting the pipe industry currently.
The company is adversely impacted by heavy competition –
particularly from far-east manufacturers who are setting up capacity in India
for injection moulding machines.
The operation is subject to rising costs of iron and steel –
its raw materials.
Apart from the above, the business is also exposed to
technology obsolescence, government duties and taxes, and a strengthening INR
(company is a net exporter) among other factors.
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